Robust depth-based estimation of the functional autoregressive model

Abstract
A robust estimator for functional autoregressive models is proposed, the Depth-based Least Squares (DLS) estimator. The DLS estimator down-weights the influence of outliers by using the functional directional outlyingness as a centrality measure. It consists of two steps: identifying the outliers with a two-stage functional boxplot, then down-weighting the outliers using the functional directional outlyingness. Theoretical properties of the DLS estimator are investigated such as consistency and boundedness of its influence function. Through a Monte Carlo study, it is shown that the DLS estimator performs better than estimators based on Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and robust PCA, which are the most commonly used. To illustrate a practical application, the DLS estimator is used to analyze a dataset of ambient CO concentrations in California.

Citation
Martínez-Hernández I, Genton MG, González-Farías G (2018) Robust depth-based estimation of the functional autoregressive model. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis. Available: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2018.06.003.

Acknowledgements
This research was partially supported by (1) CONACYT, México, scholarship as visiting research student, (2) CONACYT, México, CB-2015-01-252996, and (3) King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST). The authors thank the two anonymous referees for their valuable comments.

Publisher
Elsevier BV

Journal
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis

DOI
10.1016/j.csda.2018.06.003

Additional Links
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167947318301415

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