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    UNCERTAINTY IN THE DEVELOPMENT AND USE OF EQUATION OF STATE MODELS

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    Type
    Article
    Authors
    Weirs, V. Gregory
    Fabian, Nathan
    Potter, Kristin
    McNamara, Laura
    Otahal, Thomas
    KAUST Grant Number
    KUS-C1-016-04
    Date
    2013
    Permanent link to this record
    http://hdl.handle.net/10754/600125
    
    Metadata
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    Abstract
    In this paper we present the results from a series of focus groups on the visualization of uncertainty in equation-of-state (EOS) models. The initial goal was to identify the most effective ways to present EOS uncertainty to analysts, code developers, and material modelers. Four prototype visualizations were developed to present EOS surfaces in a three-dimensional, thermodynamic space. Focus group participants, primarily from Sandia National Laboratories, evaluated particular features of the various techniques for different use cases and discussed their individual workflow processes, experiences with other visualization tools, and the impact of uncertainty on their work. Related to our prototypes, we found the 3D presentations to be helpful for seeing a large amount of information at once and for a big-picture view; however, participants also desired relatively simple, two-dimensional graphics for better quantitative understanding and because these plots are part of the existing visual language for material models. In addition to feedback on the prototypes, several themes and issues emerged that are as compelling as the original goal and will eventually serve as a starting point for further development of visualization and analysis tools. In particular, a distributed workflow centered around material models was identified. Material model stakeholders contribute and extract information at different points in this workflow depending on their role, but encounter various institutional and technical barriers which restrict the flow of information. An effective software tool for this community must be cognizant of this workflow and alleviate the bottlenecks and barriers within it. Uncertainty in EOS models is defined and interpreted differently at the various stages of the workflow. In this context, uncertainty propagation is difficult to reduce to the mathematical problem of estimating the uncertainty of an output from uncertain inputs.
    Citation
    Weirs VG, Fabian N, Potter K, McNamara L, Otahal T (2013) UNCERTAINTY IN THE DEVELOPMENT AND USE OF EQUATION OF STATE MODELS. International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification 3: 255–270. Available: http://dx.doi.org/10.1615/Int.J.UncertaintyQuantification.2012003960.
    Sponsors
    The authors deeply appreciate the time and candid discussion contributed by the focus group participants. Sandia National Laboratories is a multi-program laboratory managed and operated by Sandia Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of Lockheed Martin Corporation, for the U.S. Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration under Contract No. DE-AC04-94AL85000. This publication is based on work supported in part by Award No. KUS-C1-016-04, made by King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) and an award from DOE NETL.
    Publisher
    Begell House
    Journal
    International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification
    DOI
    10.1615/Int.J.UncertaintyQuantification.2012003960
    ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
    10.1615/Int.J.UncertaintyQuantification.2012003960
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